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HDFC Bank shares surge to record high post Q2 results. Should you buy, sell or hold

18 Oct , 2021   By : Kanchan Joshi


HDFC Bank shares surge to record high post Q2 results. Should you buy, sell or hold

Shares of HDFC Bank surged to record high on the BSE in Monday's opening trade as the stock was trading at 1,715 per share, up nearly 2%. The private lender on Saturday reported an over 17% year-on-year growth in net profit in the second quarter of FY22 at Rs8,834 crore as compared to Rs7,513 crore during the same quarter last year.


HDFC Bank continues to deliver strong business growth versus peers, resulting in market share gains, said analysts at Motilal Oswal. This was led by a healthy pickup in the retail segment, while commercial and rural banking continues to remain robust. 


The brokerage said that earnings were in line, despite making additional contingent provisions to strengthen its balance sheet. “High provision coverage and contingent provision buffer provide comfort on asset quality. Pick up in loan growth particularly retail would aid NII and margins which would drive profitability," Motilal Oswal note stated. It has maintained its Buy rating on the stock with a revised target price of Rs2,000 per share.


HDFC bank’s asset quality improved on a sequential basis, with gross non-performing asset ratio at 1.35%, as compared with 1.47% as of June 30. Net NPA ratio too fell 8 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 0.4%. Total provisions for the bank increased to Rs3,925 crore.


Those at ICICI Securities have also maintained ‘Buy' rating on India's largest private lender's stock. They have also increased the target price to Rs1,955 from earlier of Rs1,818. 


“Demand resolution is back to pre-covid levels and recoveries are encouraging. Bank is building digital and franchise capabilities to capture growth opportunities. Cumulative provisioning is equivalent to 2.2% of advances against 2.9% of stress pool," ICICI Securities note said. Though, it sees adverse behaviour of elevated restructured pool, continued investments, which will keep opex high as key risks.


HDFC Bank's total provisions for the bank increased on a yearly basis however declined on a sequential basis to Rs3,925 crore.


Lower provisioning aid earnings while retail growth set to accelerate, said Nirmal Bang in a note on the bank. “Balance sheet capitalisation remains strong with tier-I ratio of 18.7%. We remain sanguine about the bank’s growth prospects given that it is taking multiple measures to capture emerging opportunities in commercial/rural and retail banking. We maintain BUY on the stock with a TP of Rs1,962."


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