30 Jan , 2025 By : Debdeep Gupta
Maruti Suzuki
CLSA On Maruti
Outperform Call, Target Raised To Rs 13,446/Sh From Rs 12,631/Sh
Q3 Margin Fell QoQ Despite Better Scale
Higher Scale Promotion Impacted Margin By 60 bps QoQ
EBITDA Margin At 11.6% Was In-line With Consensus Below Estimate
Although Gross Margin Was In-line, Other Expenses Were Higher Than Our Expectations
Co Had To Incur Greater Promotional Expenses To Push Retail Sales Amidst Sluggish Demand
Raise Target Price As We Roll Forward By One Quarter To Mar-27
Remain Positive As Demand For CNG-Powered Cars Will Grow
Jefferies On Maruti
Hold Call, Target At Rs 12,123/Sh
Good YoY Growth but EBITDA Miss in Q3
PV Registration Growth Has Slowed Down
Co Says Demand Remains Subdued & It Expects Similar 4% Retail Growth In Q4
PV Mkt Sh Slipped To A 12-yr Low As Adverse Demand Profile Shift From Cars To SUVs Is Hurting
Exports Are Growing Well
Cut FY25-27 EPS By 2% And Retain Hold
Macquarie On Maruti
Neutral Call, Target At Rs 12,296/Sh
Q3 Was an In-line Quarter; BEV Exports, Entry Segment Demand Key
Q3 EBIT Was Broadly In-line With Estimate
Gross Margin Improved QoQ & Was Better Than We Expected
Higher Employee And Other Costs Led To A Miss Of The EBIT Margin
Margin Was Affected By Higher Discounts & Advertising Costs Along With Forex
See Marginal Downside Risk To FY25 Earnings
In the near term, Volume trends for BEVs & Impact Of the Recent Price Hike On Demand Will Be Key To Track
MS On Maruti
Overweight Call, Target At Rs 14,942/Sh
Q3 Was In-line Quarter, Impressive EBIT Margin Despite High Discounts
Margin In Light Of Muted Demand Growth Looks Impressive
Exports Were Up 38% Continue To Do Well And Were 18.4% Of Q3 Sales
Co Aims To Start Production Of Its Pure-EV Model, e-Vitara Over The Coming Months
Q3 Revenues, EBITDA And EBIT Posted 16%, 14% And 16% YoY Growth
Tata Motors
Jefferies On Tata Motors
Downgrade To Underperform, Target Cut To Rs 660/Sh
After 3.5 Years Downgrade Stock To Underperform
Q3 EBITDA Fell 16% YoY, And Was 19?low Estimates
JLR Faces Weak Demand In China & Europe, Rising Customer Acqn Cost & Higher Warranty Expense
India CV And PV Demand Has Slowed Down, Too, & Competition Is Rising In EVs
While Expect A Seasonally Better Q4, Cut FY25-27 EBITDA By 7-11% & EPS By 5-10%
MS On Tata Motors
Equal-Weight Call, Target At Rs 853/Sh
Q3 Numbers Were Weaker Than Expected
JLR FY25 EBIT Margin Guidance Is Maintained But Revenue & RoCE Guidance Was Lowered Marginally
JLR Will Relook At FY26 Guidance Post Q4 Earnings
Bajaj Finance
MS On Bajaj Finance
Overweight Call, Target Raised To Rs 9,300/Sh
Lower Stressed Asset Formation Of Q2 Was Sustained In Q3
Management Guided To Lower Credit Cost In Q4
Visibility Of 25% EPS Growth In F26 Has Improved, Subject To Macro Climate
Jefferies On Bajaj Finance
Buy Call, Target At Rs 9,270/Sh
Q3 Profit Was Up 18% YoY, Came 5% Ahead Of Estimates Aided By Better Topline
Strong Loan Growth Of 28% Aided Growth In NII & Fees
Asset Quality Trends Are Stabilising & Mgmt Expects Credit Costs To Start Tapering-off From Q4
CEO Succession Should Be Smoother As Dy CEO May Get Elevated & Rajeev Jain Will Stay Involved
Nomura On Bajaj Finance
Buy Call, Target Raised To Rs 9,000/Sh
Steady Quarter, With Profit Growth Of 18%/ 7% YoY/ QoQ In Q3 Supported By Healthy Loan Growth
Profit Was Above Estimate, Primarily Due To Lower Credit costs at 2.1%
Operating Profit Was Largely In-line With Estimate, Driving RoA/ RoE At 4%/19% In Q3
HSBC On Bajaj Finance
Buy Call, Target Raised To Rs 8,900/Sh
Delivery On All Parameters In Q3
Broad-based AUM Growth, Stronger-than-expected Asset Quality Were Key
Tweak Earnings Est However, Given Performance, Think Shares Deserve A Premium To Peers
Raise P/BV Multiple To 5x For FY26
Nomura On JSW Infra
Reduce Call, Target Cut To Rs 230/Sh
Q3 EBITDA & Profit Missed Forecasts On Slower Throughput Growth & Higher Net Finance Costs
Volumes Likely Troughed In Q3
Pipeline Of Expansion In Ports And Logistics Should Secure Growth But Will Weigh On Returns
Cut FY25-27 Profit Estimates; Still Expensive Despite Correction
Bernstein On KPIT Tech
Outperform Call, Target At Rs 1,580/Sh
Delivered A Strong Quarter Despite Europe's Auto Weakness With Both Growth & Margin Beat
Growth Was Driven By Asia Including Japan, Korea, & India
Co Announced Large Engagement In Connected, Autonomous & Body Electronics With Leading Asian Car OEM
FYY25 Revenue Guidance Was Maintained While EBITDA Guidance Was Raised To 21%
MS On Ambuja Cement
Overweight Call, Target At Rs 675/Sh
Standalone & Consol Volumes Were Much Higher Than Estimates In Q3
Consol Opex Was Higher, Offsetting Some Benefits
Nomura On MGL
Upgrade To Neutral, Target At Rs 1,350/Sh
Q3 Results Were In-line With Estimates; Volume Growth Remained Strong At 12% YoY
Volume Growth Guided To Remain Robust At 10% In FY26
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