17 Jan , 2025 By : Debdeep Gupta
Bernstein On Infosys
Outperform Call, Target At Rs 2,330/Sh
Co Delivered Another Round Beat Across Revenue, Margin & Earning In Q3
FY25 Revenue Growth Guide Was Raised By 60 bps To 4.5-5% YoY CC Ahead Of Street Estimates
Deal Momentum Was Healthy At $2.5 Bn TCV With ‘Netnew’ At Nearly 60%
Continue To See Upcycle In Large Cap IT Services With Co Delivering Best Earnings Of Season
Q3 Results Are Driven By Discretionary Recovery
MS On Infosys
Overweight Call, Target At Rs 2,150/Sh
Improving Deal Wins, Constructive Commentary On Discretionary Spending Drove Revenue Growth
Net Headcount Addition Drives View Of Reasonable Acceleration In Revenue Growth
Stock Should See Support Around Its Five-year Average Two-year Forward FCF Multiple (24.2x)
Free Cash Flow To Net Income Was One Of The Strongest In the Last Several Years
Jefferies On Infosys
Buy Call, Target At Rs 2,250/Sh
Q3 Beat Estimates With Strong Revenue Growth Being Key Positive Surprise
FY25 Growth Guidance Raised To Factor The Q3 Beat, Though Ask Rate For Q4 Remains Same
Strong Deal Wins, Improving Discretionary Spending Environment Bodes Well For Growth
Raise Est By 2-3% & Expect Co To Deliver 11% EPS CAGR Over FY25-27
HSBC On Infosys
Buy Call, Target Rs 2,120 /sh
Reported A Decent Q3; Both In Terms Of Revenue Growth & Margin Performance
Outlook Commentary Was Positive, Especially Green Shoots In Europe Banking & US Retail Biz
Sustainability Of Pass-Through Revenues In FY26 Remains Uncertain
Nomura On Infosys
Buy Call, Target Rs 2,220/sh
Q3 Was An All-Round Beat, Another Guidance Lift For FY25
Project Maximus’ Impact On Margin Continues To Play Out
Reiterate As Top Pick In Large Cap India IT Service
CLSA On Reliance Ind
Outperform Call, Target At Rs 1,650/Sh
Q3 EBITDA/Profit Was Ahead Of Forecast Driven By Better Upstream & Retail Performance
Jio Numbers Came Lower Due To A Miss On ARPU Even As Subscriber Addition Was Better Than Est
Retail’s EBITDA Came 8% Ahead As EBITDA/sqft & Rose To A 10-Quarter High
Consumer Grocery Business Saw 37% YoY Growth
Management Indicated That Streamlining Of Retail Operations May Be Nearing Completion
Plans In Online Grocery Commerce, FMCG, And AI Also Nearing Completion As Per The Co
MS On Reliance Ind
Overweight Call, Target At Rs 1,662/Sh
Co Back On A Growth Path After Six Months Of Challenges
Q3 Earnings Were Better Than Low Expectations
Q3 Results Had Elements For Stock To Re-rate Back To Mid-Cycle Multiples Risk As Result Downgrades Unwinds
Move Up One Notch To Number 2 In Preference Order
EBITDA Was Above Est As Energy EBITDA Was Higher & Retail Earnings Turned Around
Chemicals Margin Outperformed Industry Benchmarks.
Retail EBITDA Rose 9% YoY, Revenues Up 7% YoY Despite Store Rationalisation
Jefferies On Reliance Ind
Buy Call, Target At Rs 1,660/Sh
Q3 EBITDA 5% Ahead Of Estimates With Retail/O2C Ahead
Restoration Of Growth In Retail Signals That Worst Is Likely Behind
Jio's EBITDA Missed By 2% On Slightly Lower ARPU And Elevated Cost
O2C Profitability Was Aided By Refining, Where See Improved Outlook In FY26
Further Traction In Retail, Tariff Hike And Possible Listing Of Jio Could Be Triggers In FY26
HSBC On Axis Bank
Buy Call, Target Cut To Rs 1,170/Sh From Rs 1,350/Sh
Q3 Results Saw Lower-than-estimated Deposit & Loan Growth
Continued High Credit Costs Were Key Misses In The Quarter
Loan Growth Is Now At Risk Of Being Below Industry Levels In Medium-term With Tight Liquidity
Cut EPS Estimates By 5-11% Over FY25-27
Jefferies On Axis Bank
Buy Call, Target At Rs 1,400/Sh
Q3 Profit Was Ahead Of Estimates With Better PpOP Growth Of 15%
Deposit Growth Lags 10% For Sector, But Avg Growth Of 13% Is Reasonable & Better Benchmark
Slippages Were A Tad Higher & QoQ Rise Was Led By Agri/MFI Loans
Unsecured Loans Were Largely Stable QoQ, Which Is A Comforting Read
Sustaining Avg Deposit Growth Near Current Level & Moderation In Slippages Are Key To Re-rating
MS On Axis Bank
Overweight Call, Target At Rs 1,300/Sh
Stock Has Underperformed Going Into Results, Expect It To Remain Volatile
Revenue Miss & Higher Credit Costs Are Key Factors
Q3 Reflected Increased Macro Challenges
Management Expects Muted Growth, Near-term, Amid Continued Tight Liquidity Conditions
Co’s Focus Is On Prioritising Profitability Over Growth
On Asset Quality, Management Expects Near-term Slippage/Credit Costs To Remain Elevated
Stock Remains Most Levered For A Potential Cyclical Macro Recovery
CLSA On Axis Bank
Outperform Call, Target At Rs 1,400/Sh
Q3 Profit Beat Estimate By 5%, Solely Driven By Lower Expenses, While Its Topline Missed Slightly
Expected Credit Costs To Inch Up Given Environment, & Numbers In Line With Expectations
Loan Growth Is Slowing, Now Reaching Sub-10% As Bank Tries To Balance Profitability, LDR & Capital
Adjusted For Interest Reversals And Higher Liquidity, NIM Was Sequentially Stable
Opex Declined 5% QoQ Despite Festive Spending As Integration Costs For The Citi Merger Are Now Over
CLSA On Havells
Outperform Call, Target At Rs 2,120/Sh
Q3 EBITDA Was Below Estimates On Lower Margin While Revenue Was In-line
Growth Was Strong In Electrical Consumer Durables, Lloyd & Stable Elsewhere
Management Indicated Improving Consumer Demand, Helped By Festive Season
Industrial And Infrastructure Remain Strong
In Lighting, Price Deflation Continues
Cables Were Impacted By Inventory Destocking Due To Weak Copper Prices
Q3 Numbers Were Weak And Likely To Drive Another Round Of Estimate Downgrades
Commentary On Growth & Margin Will Be Key To Watch For
MS On LTIMindtree
Overweight Call, Target At Rs 6,800/Sh
Good Results And No Disappointment On Q4 Outlook Were Positives
Weakness On Margin Is Baked In Buyside Estimates
Debate On Productivity Benefits Passed On To Top Client Should Settle In Few Quarters Per Mgmt
Nomura On LTIMindtree
Reduce Call, Target At Rs 5,070/Sh
Q3 Results Saw Modest Beat At Revenue And Margin
Productivity Benefit Pass Through To Be A Near-term Headwind On Growth
Deal Pipeline Remains Strong
Margin Recovery To Be Slow, Significant Improvement Needs Sharp Growth Revival
HSBC On Dixon Tech
Buy Call, Target Raised To Rs 19,900/Sh
2024 Was A Strong Year With A Series Of New Client Additions In Mobile & IT Hardware Biz
2025 Should See Scaling Up Of Mobile & IT Hardware Businesses
Expansion Of New Products & Components
Continue To Expect FY26-27 Consensus EPS Upgrades
CLSA On Indus Towers
Upgrade To High Conviction Outperform Call, Target At Rs 575/Sh
Co Recently Received Further Rs 1,900 Cr Payment From Voda Idea For Past Dues
Overdue From Voda Idea Are Down Over 70% From Peak
Lower Overdue Are Adding Confidence To Planned 4G/5G Network Investment
Co Offers 10?ITDA CAGR, Strong Cashflows, FCF Yield Of 7% & 23% RoCE By FY27
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