05 Apr , 2024 By : Debdeep Gupta
Shriram Finance has broken out from a sideways consolidation. With this breakout above the 2,500 level, it is expected to move up to 2,700 and beyond in the short term.
Shriram Finance has broken out from a sideways consolidation with a bullish crossover in its short-term momentum indicators pointing at a positive trend.
According to Jay Thakkar, Head of Derivative and Quantitative Research at ICICI Direct, to capture the upside, one can implement a bull call option spread strategy.
The derivative strategy recommended by Thakkar is a Bull Call spread:
Position: Buy 1 lot of 2500 CE at Rs 89
Sell 1 lot of 2,600 CE at Rs 49
Risk reward ratio: 1:1.5
Maximum profit: The maximum profit will be 60 points at or above Rs 2,600 levels. However, if it closes below Rs 2,500, the maximum loss will be 40 points.
Net outflow
"The net outflow for the strategy will be 40 points, which is the maximum risk, while the maximum gain will be 60 points. Hence, the risk-to-reward ratio will be 1:1.5," said Thakkar.
Technical set up
"Shriram Finance has broken out from a sideways consolidation with a bullish crossover in its short-term momentum indicators, thus indicating that the short-term trend is positive. The previous range was 2,500-2,250, approximately 10 percent. Now, with this breakout above the 2,500 levels, it is expected to move up to 2,700 and above levels in the short term," said Thakkar.
On the derivative front, the stock has seen good short covering since the last week of March, and with this breakout, it is expected to see some good long build going forward as the risk-to-reward is well in favor of the bulls. "Now, as per the options chain data, the stock has surpassed its crucial resistance of 2,500, and above those levels, it has the next resistance at 2,600 levels, where there is the highest concentration on the call front. Therefore, a bull call spread is recommended," he added.
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