10 Feb , 2025 By : Debdeep Gupta
M&M
Nomura On M&M
Buy Call, Target Rs 3,681/sh
Tractor Guidance Raised; BEV Launch Next Major Catalyst
Q3 EBITDA In-line With Est
Management Expects Income Tax Cuts To Benefit Demand
CLSA On M&M
Outperform Call, Target Rs 3,510/sh
Although Experienced A QoQ Decline In Its ASP For Auto/Farm Segments
Still Achieved An All-time High Auto EBIT Margin Of 9.7%
Believe XUV 3X0, Thar Roxx & New EVs Will Help Co Gain Market Share In UVs
Believe It Will Be Tough For It To Maintain Margin With Rising EV Scale
Co Remains Confident In Industry Tractor Volume Growth Of >15% Q4
GS On M&M
Buy Call, Target Rs 3,800/sh
Q3 Beat, Core Auto Farm EBIT Was 5?ove BBG Consensus
Mgmt Expects Ongoing Strength In Tractor Volumes To Continue In Q4 & Into FY26
Guidance For 15% Growth In Q4FY25
Demand On Thar Roxx, Thar 3 Door, & XUV 3xo SUVs Are Collectively Driving 4,000/Month Capacity Increase On These Models Over Next 3 Months
Macquarie On M&M
Outperform Call, Target Raised To Rs 3,643/sh
Tractor Demand & Margin Outlook Positive; Optimistic On BEV Traction
Underlying Auto Segment Margin Remains Strong
Headline Auto Margin To Be Impacted By EV Losses In FY26
UBS On M&M
Neutral Call, Target Rs 3,460/sh
Market Share Gains Continued Across Businesses; Outlook Constructive
Q3FY25 Broadly In-Line For Both Autos & FES
Accounting Changes For EV Subsidiary; More On EV Demand & Profitability
Stock At 15x FY27 EV/ EBITDA Multiple (Core) Is Trading 2 SD Above It's Last 5-Yr Avg
Jefferies On M&M
Buy Call, Target Rs 4,075/sh
Delivered 11th Consecutive Quarter Of Double-digit EBITDA Growth
EBIT Margin Rose 1.4-2.6% YoY In Farm & Autos
Tractor Demand Is Improving After 1.5 Years & Co Expects 15% Growth In Q4
An Expanding Portfolio Is Driving Strong SUV Volume Growth For Co
Co Has Been Gaining Mkt Share Across PVs, Tractors & LCVs In Recent Years
Insurance
CLSA On Insurance
Private Insurers Individual APE Grew 20% YoY In Jan 2025
Total APE Growth For Private Insurers Was At 19% YoY
Individual NOP Sold Were Up Only 6% YoY But Are Up 9% For 10MFY25
In Jan, HDFC Life Delivered The Strongest Growth, 27% On A 10?se
IPRU Life Delivered 18% Total APE Growth
Max Had Growth Of 12% But On A Very High 53?se
SBI Life Delivered 3% Growth On A High 35?se
HSBC On Insurance
Industry’s Individual APE Growth Recovered In Jan’25 From A Slow Q3FY25
FY25 Ask Rate For Residual Growth Is Low For ICICI Pru & HDFC Life Relative To Peers
SBI Life’s Individual APE Growth Is Recovering & Sustained Healthy APE Growth
GS On LIC
Neutral Call, Target Rs 900/sh
Topline Miss Was Led By Individual Par Biz That Declined 38% YoY & Group Biz
Margin Declined As Better Product Was More Than Offset By Lower Risk-Free Rates
Negative Operating Leverage & New Surrender Payouts
Going Forward, Mgmt Expects Focus On Non-Par Products To Continue
Focus On Non-Par PDts Leading To A Margin Improvement In Medium-Term
GS On Ola Electric
Buy Call, Target Cut To Rs 101 From Rs 118/sh
Q3 Revenue Above Est
Impact Of Post-festive Discounts Was Lower Than Our Expectations
Mgmt Has Spent Time In Improving Service Network Coverage & Product Quality
Mgmt Has Reduced Svc Turnaround Time To 1.1 Days In Q3 Vs 2.5 Days QoQ
CLSA On Sun TV
Hold Call, Target Cut To Rs 670/sh
Q3 Standalone Rev Below Est, Miss Was Led By An Advertising Revenue Decline
Even Co’s Subscriptions Saw Low 2% YoY Growth
Co’s Margin Was Also Dragged Down By Sun Neo The Hindi Channel
Co Had The Winning Bid For One Of 8 Franchisees Of A Cricket League In UK
Apollo Tyres
UBS On Apollo Tyres
Buy Call, Target Rs 525/sh
Q3 Another Miss Driven By India, While Europe In Line
Co Seeing Flattish Raw Material Basket In Q4
They Have Not Planned Any Price Hikes In The Near Term
Mgmt Is Targetting US & Middle East (Esp Saudi Arabia) As The Key Export Markets
Mgmt Will Start Capacity Addition For PCR In FY26 In India & EU
Reifen Revenue Stood At £88 m ( 17% YoY) With EBITDA Margin Of 7%.
Nomura On Apollo Tyres
Neutral Call, Target Rs 470/sh
Growth Headwinds From Weak Macro
Q3 In-line, Weak CV/Exports, Focus On Profitability To Delay Recovery
Commodity Tailwinds Largely Factored In
Focus On Profitability Over Mkt Shr Likely To Be Detrimental In Medium Term
Largely Evident In 9MFY25 Performance
Current Valuation At 6x FY27 EV/EBITDA Is In Fair Value Zone
Nomura On Anant Raj
Initiate Buy, Target Rs 750/sh
Expect Co To Generate Robust Cashflows From Residential On Solid Launch Pipeline
Expect Co To Successfully Execute Its Medium-Term Data Center (DC)/Cloud Targets
Half Of Capex Can Be Funded From Internal Accruals
Concerns About Pricing Risk For DC/Cloud Segment Appear Overdone
India Remains Largely Under-Penetrated In DCs
While Regulations Should Drive Demand For India-Based Dc/Cloud Offerings
Strong Demand In GCER Should Aid Residential Segment Generate Robust Cash Flows
HSBC On Cummins
Buy Call, Target Cut To Rs 3,500 From Rs 4,200/sh
Q3 Profit Beat Consensus Est
Impressive Topline Growth Across Segments More Than Offset Margin Weakness
Limited Scope For Margin Expansion To Drive Moderation In Growth Prospects
Reset Valuation Multiples To Factor In Moderation In Growth
Jefferies On Thermax
Buy Call, Target Cut To Rs 4,835/sh
Q3 EBITDA A Big 29% Miss As Both Revenues & Margins Disappointed
Mgmt Mentioned That Q4 Should See Rev north of `3,000 Cr
Q3 Saw Impact Of Rev Deferment, Loss Making Projects Getting Completed
Believe Rev/Margin Linked 27% EPS FY24-27e CAGR Should Drive Upside From Current Lvls
Nomura On Fortis Health
Buy Call, Target Rs 700/sh
Overall Rev 2?ove Est
Hospital Rev 3% Higher & Diagnostic Segment Rev In-Line
Cons EBITDA Was 3?low Estimate
Higher One-Time Branding Related Expenses In Diagnostics
Net Earnings Ahead Of Est On Lower-Than-Estimated Taxes & Exceptional Gains
HSBC On VRL Logistics
Hold Call, Target Cut To Rs 600/sh
Price Increases & Cost Efficiencies Drive Sharp Margin Improvement
Profitability Improvement Is Impressive, Need To See Sustainability Of It With Vol Growth
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