18 Nov , 2024 By : Debdeep Gupta
Check out the latest brokerage calls and analyst comments on the stocks in action today. Our coverage includes Hero MotoCorp, Bharat Forge, Honasa Consumer and more.
Hero MotoCorp
Jefferies On Hero MotoCorp
Buy Call, Target Cut To `5,500/Sh
Q2 Results Were In-line
Q2 EBITDA Growth Was In-line With Estimates; EBITDA/Vehicle Rose To A New High
Believe India's 2-wheelers Are Poised For Strong Double-Digit Growth Over Next 3 Years
Co’s Market Share Decline In 2-wheelers & Adverse Demand Profile Shifts Are Concerns
Any Success In Premium Bikes And EVs Will Be A Positive
Nomura On Hero MotoCorp
Buy Call, Target At `5,805/Sh
Rural Improvement A Key Catalyst
Q2 Was In-line; Healthy Earnings Growth & Attractive Valuations; Margins Have Room To Improve
Expect 2-wheeler Ind To Grow By 10% Over FY25-26, Given Rebalancing Of Growth & Positive Monsoons
There Are Some Early Signs Of Rural Pick Up Which Will Support Sales (54% Rural Mix)
As EV Drag Reduces With New Models & PLI Benefit, Margins Can Improve
Bharat Forge
Jefferies On Bharat Forge
Underperform Call, Target Cut To `1,100/Sh
Q2 EBITDA 12?low Est Led By Weaker-than-expected Performance Of Standalone & Subsidiaries
Like Structural Initiatives But Remain Concerned On Cyclical Headwinds In Exports & Rich Valuations
Cut Below-Consensus FY25-27 EPS By 5-16%
Nomura On Bharat Forge
Neutral Call, Target `1,515/Sh
Strong Defence Orders But Near-term Cyclical Risk
Q2 Was In-line; Risks From EU Weakness Increasing
Remain Optimistic On Significant Long-Term Potential In Domestic Defence Segment
Concerns On Near-term Cyclical Risks Remain Due To Slower Growth In EU Market
Morgan Stanley On Muthoot Finance
Upgrade To Equal-Weight From Underweight, Target Raised To `1,600/Sh
Persistently Strong Gold Prices And Rising System-Wide Asset Quality Are Main Concerns
Strong Gold Prices & Rising System-Wide Asset Quality Are Key Risk Factors Behind Underweight Rating
Think Regulatory Uncertainty, Lacklustre Diversification Will Keep Upside Capped
Think Dependence On Gold Prices, & Elevated Valuation Will Keep Upside Capped
Jefferies On City Gas Cos
Downgrade MGL To Underperform From Buy, Target Cut To `1,130/Sh
Downgrade IGL To Underperform From Hold, Target Cut To `295/Sh From `390/Sh
For 2nd Month In A Row, Govt Has Lowered The APM Allocation To CNG Players By 20%
Lower APM Allocation Suggests Cheap Domestic Gas Will Soon Be Taken Away Fully
Bake In APM Allocation Falling To Nearly Nil By Mid-CY25, Leading To `1-2.5/scm Reduction In EBITDA Margin
Lower FY26 EPS For Mahanagar Gas/IGL/Guj Gas By 31%/27%/19%
Will Revisit Ests Once Quantum & Timing Of Price Hikes Are Known
CLSA On Hindustan Aeronautics
Outperform Call, Target `4,731/Sh
Despite Delay In Russian Aircraft & Helicopter Orders, Co’s Decadal Pipeline Remains $45 Bn
View Large Helicopter & SU 30 Orders In H2 & Visibility On The GE Engine Deal As Key Catalysts
Co Trades At Deserved Prem To Global Aerospace Peers Given Make-In-India Pipeline & Mkt Access
CLSA On Fusion Mirco
Underperform Call, Target Cut To `155/Sh From `260/Sh
Q2 Net Loss Was Higher Than Expectation As Its Credit Cost Was Higher Than Guidance
Mgmt Has Tightened Its Underwriting Norms, Making It Stricter Than Regulatory Guardrails
Higher Gross NPA, Net NPA & Rating Downgrade By CARE Has Led To Covenant Breaches With Lenders
Management Clarified That It Had Received Waivers From All Lenders In Q1
Co Is Currently Focused On Rights Issue To Be Completed In CY24
Jefferies On Thermax
Buy Call, Target `6,100/Sh
Q2 EBITDA Was About 6?low Expectations As A 6% Revenue Miss Flowed Through
Given Strong Order Flow And Healthy Outlook, Maintain FY25-27 Estimates.
Industrial Infra (45% Of Revenues) Margins Recovered To 7.5% Vs -2% QoQ
Believe Revenue/Margin-Linked 28% EPS FY24-27 CAGR Should Drive Upside From Current Levels
Think Green Hydrogen Is A Medium-term Opportunity
Jefferies On Honasa Consumer
Buy Call, Target Cut To `425/Sh
Q2 Higher Inventory Correction And Loss Was Disappointing
Founders' Comment On Reworking The Playbook Creates Further Uncertainty
Given Extreme Investor Views Here, Naysayers Saw It Coming, While Supporters Are Disappointed
Stock Would Be Under Pressure & Holders Looking To Exit May Feel Stuck, Given Low Liquidity
We Are Disappointed Too, But Trust Founders To Get Back On Track
Not The Only Start-up To Go Through Pain
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